Ramai yang teruja dengan pelaburan saham apabila melihat screenshot pulangan beratus peratus, malah ada yang mencatatkan keuntungan sehingga beribu peratus pun ada.

Tetapi apakah rahsia di sebalik pulangan yang lumayan ini? Dan adakah ianya sesuatu yang boleh dibuat secara berulang-ulang? Atau hanya sekali saja boleh untung besar?

Semoga perkongsian Tuan Hafiz Tokyo ini menjadi inspirasi kepada bakal-bakal pelabur saham di luar sana.

Kebarangkalian vs Konsistensi

“Probability is an events that can’t be predicted with total certainty. The best we can say is how likely they are to happen, using the idea of probability. Same goes in trading there is no way we assure confirmation things to be happen.”

Saya boleh katakan kita akan berhadapan dengan ‘probability’ almost all the time during trading. Sehubungan dengan itu dengan adanya probability ini kita boleh andaikan there is a 50% chance untuk win dan 50% chance untuk loss. Kalau kita breakeven sekalipun, still consider as loss since we have to pay brokerage fee and others as well as our loss.

Untuk mencapai 13,000% is really hard.

If we pun on statistic method for example 1/1000 kaunter potential which likely not going to happen but might be happen as well equivalent to 0.001 chance. It might happen 1/10000 kaunter equivalent to 0.0001 chance and may increase due to other factors and it is not impossible to achieve. I have also experienced and that is the reason I’m sharing it with you.

The idea is we can’t get this result everytime or everyday, I might say I’m in pure luck or really fortunate.

But there is one thing we can achieve and get it over the time again and again and that is consistency. Consistency is the quality of always behaving or performing in a similar way, or of always happening in a similar way.

Consistency can be learned and can be shared through the learning process and the best part is that it can be repeated over and over again.

I’m leading & doing on weekly basis for Friday Rule routine and we consistently manage to get positive return ranging from 3% to 60% in just 3 days. On average, we manage to achieve a certain percentage return/loss for the last 2 weeks. FR – 22/10 we manage to get 17% & latest FR-29/10 last week we fortunately get 3% on average despite of the drawback of the market.

On the other hand, I’ve already achieved 100% of return for 251 times with almost 3 years of trading experience. This one also I can say hard to sustain but not that hard as 1,000% and above. Ada banyak instrumen yang boleh memberi keuntungan lebih banyak daripada ini.

The conclusion is:

1. Hit above 1000% – the hardest part & can easily fail almost every time.

2. Hit 100% – hard to achieve but easier than the first point with 50-50 chance.

3. Hit 7-10% – quite easy and effortlessly if you have the right technique and method which gives a greater chance to succeed.

Again as a reminder, this is not a buy and sell recommendation, I won’t disclose any counter and I’m prohibited to do so. So saya memang tidak akan share nama kaunter sebab saya terikat dengan undang-undang sebagai seorang trader dan pelabur di Malaysia.

Seriously saya cakap, share atau bagi buycall / sellcall adalah satu kesalahan yang besar.

Kalau tak faham sila Google melainkan anda seorang yang malas dan mengharapkan kaunter dari page saya which is not going to be happen in a million years. Denda sejuta kalau sabit kesalahan ada yang nak tanggung ke?

This is only for educational purpose. Risiko atas penilaian masing-masing, sila buat persediaan dan kajian yang menyeluruh sebelum bertindak.

Kredit: Facebook Hafiz Tokyo

Penulis juga pernah ‘menyesal’ kerana menjual saham syarikat yang baik terlalu awal. Itu biasa kerana objektif dan tahap kesabaran kita berbeza-beza.

Semoga perkongsian ini dapat menaikkan semangat para pembaca yang mungkin baru nak bermula atau sedang berdukalara kerana masih belum meraih pulangan yang baik di pasaran saham. Jangan putus asa, semoga semuanya dipermudahkan. Kisah inspirasi Hafiz Tokyo juga pernah tersiar di Astro Oasis.

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